DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/22 10:43
Corn, Wheat Up at Midday; Soybeans Mixed
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday, soybeans are narrowly mixed,
and wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
The U.S. stock market is mixed at midday with the S&P 3 points lower. The
dollar index is 12 points higher. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy
trade is mixed with crude 1.15 lower and natural gas .08 cents higher.
Livestock trade is mixed with hogs leading. Precious metals are mixed with gold
off 8.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday with trade fading a bit from
the gains on Monday with overall rangebound action expected to continue short
term as we continue to ease into harvest. Ethanol margins remain short term.
The daily export wire was quiet again today. Weather looks ease the recent
rainy conditions but some look to return later in the week with weekly crop
progress showing good to excellent unchanged at 57% and poor to very poor at
17% with 58% mature vs. 54% on average, and 13% harvested vs. 11% on average.
Basis will likely continue to drift short term. On the December chart the
20-day at $5.35 is support which we popped back through yesterday with the
resistance the highs at 5.48 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybeans are narrowly mixed at midday with trade easing the sharp gains seen
Monday overnight but coming back to flat during the day session as we wait for
the talks with China this week. Meal is 2.00 to 3.00 higher, and oil is 80 to
90 points lower. Harvest should pick up in the drier areas with rains to keep
in slow in some areas with weekly crop progress showing conditions nearly
unchanged at 58% good to excellent and 14% poor to very poor with 62% dropping
leaves vs. 58% on average, and 12% harvested vs. 8% on average. The daily
export wire was quiet again today. Basis will start to drift lower if harvest
can expand next week. On the November contract chart support is the 20-day at
12.94 where we find the 20-day moving average with resistance the recent high
at 13.35.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower at midday with action fading back to
the lower end of the range after the strong start to the week as we continue to
chop around short term. Better rains into late month should help support early
wheat drilling on the plains with 17% planted vs. 21% on average and 2% emerged
vs. 4% on average. Matif wheat is lightly weaker so far today. On the KC
December chart resistance is the 20-day at $8.07 which we closed just below
with the lower Bollinger Band at 7.62 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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